Impact of Israeli-Palestinian Conflict on the Taiwan Strait |
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The war in Ukraine is not yet over, and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict has resumed. According to media analysis, the United States may find it difficult to respond to a third war in the Taiwan Strait.
(Photo from:
China Times) |
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U.S. May Find it Difficult to Fight Third War in Taiwan Strait
Want Daily Editorial, October 16, 2023
According to a recent report released by the Strategic Posture Commission of the U.S. Congress, the United States may potentially have to engage in conflicts with both Russia and China simultaneously. The report emphasizes the need for preparedness, which includes expanding military capabilities, strengthening relationships with allied nations, and accelerating the modernization of nuclear weapons. As tensions escalate in the Taiwan Strait and the Russia-Ukraine war leads to a deterioration in U.S.-Russia relations, this report from Congress is seen as a precautionary measure. While the report does not reveal any signs of cooperation between China and Russia in the realm of nuclear weapons, it does assert that "they may ultimately find a way to coordinate in a manner that puts us at a disadvantage.”
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Chair Laura Rosenberger of the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) visited Taiwan for the third time. According to media analysis, she is here not only to observe the impact of the potential alliance between the Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP) on the election but also to reassure Taiwan ahead of a meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping.
(Photo from:
United Daily News) |
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Why Did Rosenberger Visit Taiwan Again?
United Daily News, October 20, 2023
Chair Laura Rosenberger of the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) and Michael Pignatello, senior advisor to the Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs of the U.S. Department of State, visited Taiwan on October 15 for five days. This was Rosenberg's third visit to Taiwan since taking over as AIT chair in March.
Rosenberg met with the three candidates during this trip -- William Lai of the Democratic Progressive Party, Hou Yu-ih of the KMT, and Ko Wen-je of the TPP. However, it has only been four months since her last visit to Taiwan. During this period, Mr. Lai and Mr. Hou, respectively, went to the United States where she met them both. This leads people to wonder why she needs to come to Taiwan again so soon.
…read more
From: https://vip.udn.com/vip/story/121523/7519790
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Tensions in the Taiwan Strait remain. According to media analysis, mainland China may not use military force against Taiwan, but it may block and paralyze Taiwan's economy. The government should try to reduce related risks.
(Photo from:
Economic Daily News) |
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Taiwan Should Reduce Risks of China's Economic Blockade
Economic Daily News Editorial, October 20, 2023
In April 2021,
The Economist ran a cover story with the headline "The Most Dangerous Place on Earth" referring to Taiwan. Over the following two and a half years, major international media outlets and political-economic think tanks largely supported this perspective. With the eruption of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, this viewpoint gained even more prominence. The Taiwan Strait crisis has now become a global focal point. Leaders of key European and Asian countries have openly called for mitigating this immensely significant global risk.
…read more
From: https://money.udn.com/money/story/5628/7517401
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Morris Chang, founder of the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, sounded the alarm once again, warning that companies will use geo-political trends to defeat TSMC and that TSMC will face even more arduous challenges.
(Photo from: The Storm Media) |
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October 15: Morris Chang, founder of the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), once again warned that the company has become a geo-political battleground. According to Chang, globalization and free trade are almost dead, and other companies will use geo-political trends to defeat TSMC. The challenges faced by TSMC will only become more arduous, and its main competitors are from within the United States.
October 16: Cross-strait tourism is currently open to a small number of "third-category" mainland Chinese tourists for application to come to Taiwan, while group tourism has not yet been opened. In response to the hope of the tourism industry to open entry to mainland Chinese group tourists, Minister of Transportation and Communications Wang Kwo-tsai stated for the first time that "they probably won't come this year; we'll have to see next year."
October 17: The withdrawal of party, government, and military officials from campuses was a chief demand of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) before it came to power. However, the National Federation of Education Unions indicated that high schools and vocational schools in four counties and cities, including Taoyuan, recently received a letter from the Ill-gotten Assets Settlement Committee requesting to hold workshops on campus. This bring up the issue of whether political disputes were being brought onto campuses, and the motivation behind such actions is questionable. The committee stated that through opinion exchanges on instructional activities related to transitional justices, teachers are encouraged to think about related issues, and there is no violation of administrative neutrality.
October 17: Due to protests by residents, TSMC announced that it would abandon the Longtan Phase III plant in Zhubei City, Hsinchu, as a base for advanced manufacturing processes. This is the first time that TSMC has encountered a bottleneck in seeking land for building a factory in Taiwan. Minister of Economic Affairs Wang Mei-hua expressed concern that other countries would compete for TSMC's advanced processes, and the government would definitely keep TSMC's most advanced processes in Taiwan.
October 19: Chair Laura Rosenberger of the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) visited Taiwan again and told Taiwanese media that the United States opposes any unilateral change in the status quo by either side of the Taiwan Strait. She reiterated that the United States does not support Taiwan independence and called upon Beijing and Taiwan to engage in dialogue. Rosenberger also met with the three major presidential candidates, hoping that they could better understand U.S. priorities and interests and build a solid foundation for bilateral relations. This is Rosenberger's third visit to Taiwan within eight months since taking office in March, revealing unusual U.S. concern about the state of affairs in the Taiwan Strait.
October 19: Former President Ma Ying-jeou visited the United States and held talks with the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations (NCUSCR), advocating that the United States and the international community should promote cross-strait peace talks. According to Ma, the people of Taiwan hope for peace, and the general election next year will be a choice between peace and war. President Stephen Orlins of NCUSCR stated that during Ma's eight years as president, cross-strait peace and stability were maintained, and Ma's suggestions are worth considering by the United States.
October 20: President Joe Biden of the United States delivered a speech at the White House calling for support for funding for Israel and Ukraine's military operations and naming Hamas and Russian President Vladimir Putin as threats to American democracy. The White House will also submit an emergency funding request of $100 billion to Congress. According to Reuters, $7 billion of this will be used for the Indo-Pacific region including Taiwan. This move also reflects Washington's concern about another potential international conflict.
October 20: The Pentagon released its annual report on China's military power, stating that the People's Liberation Army (PLA) continues to conduct exercises around Taiwan, with an increasing number of PLA fighter jets entering Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) to prepare for landing on Taiwan. The report stated that there is still a significant risk for Beijing to conduct large-scale amphibious landings on Taiwan, and China will do its best to prevent U.S. intervention. If the conflict lasts longer, the PLA may escalate to cyber, space, or nuclear warfare to end it.
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